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A Looming Shift to Energy Managed Services?

8467_screen-shot-2016-02-15-at-9-03-00-pm-300x300A few years ago our team defined the concept Enterprise Smart Grid, recommending that to effectively manage energy consumption companies require visibility, control and management systems.  We portrayed an overwhelming number of ESG vendors in our market landscape picture.

Now, a few years later, there’s a quiet, follow-on trend being considered by commercial and industrial companies.

Outsourcing energy management.

For most of them, energy costs still remain non-strategic, with only a few mid-level managers focused on the line item.  But recently, it’s gotten even harder for this group to tactically forecast and manage down costs.  And the number of vendors offering solutions is still overwhelming.  In some cases, outsourcing could be a competitive advantage, in some cases a response to a competitive threat.  Either way, they’re considering it and there’s good reason.

The days of locking in indexed commodity contracts with lower annual rates thanks to collapsing natural gas prices are gone.  Many utilities, struggling with ISO/RTO capacity constraints, are signaling demand charge inflation and time-of-use (TOU) pricing.  This means managers have extra homework, as they now need to know where and when consumption is occurring in order to forecast and control it.

Utility incentives with performance requirements and load response programs look like free money, but require understanding how it could impact their company’s operation.  Efficiency enthusiasts like Groom Energy push them to consider upgrading their facilities.  SolarCity tells them the ITC has been extended and to consider distributed generation.  And how would they implement a microgrid if they wanted to derisk the whole thing?  Meantime, many are still burdened with annual climate reporting filings detailing how much more environmentally efficient they’ve become.

Not surprisingly, they’re asking themselves “who else can manage all this for us?”

Welcome Energy Managed Services.

In simple terms, let’s define it.

[en-er-jee man-ij-duh  sur-vis-ez]

noun, plural

  • the providing of proactive, remote control of energy consuming systems, optimizing for efficiency, under a subscription model and without negative impact to building occupants or operations
  • The Nest thermostat provided energy managed services for the homeowner’s HVAC system.

Fifteen years ago Corporate IT fell in love with the managed service concept.

Coming off SAP and Oracle implementation heartburn, companies were principally focused on Internet network security, unable to respond to a wave of new internal Internet functionality requests.  The stage was set for IT managed services to fill the gap.

New managed service providers (MSPs) signed them to long term service contracts, outsourcing everything from call centers to firewall management.  The MSPs leveraged high-speed Internet connections and brought easy-to-use SaaS interfaces.  At 2am, corporate IT was still putting out fires, while MSPs not only added staff in other times zones, but also feature upgrades and easy integration to their business.  The price was right, limited training was required and it just worked.

In 2016, a similar phenomenon could be playing out with energy management software.

Companies have seen a wave of magical energy-centric software, all claiming it can fix their energy pain.  They’re being pitched by large and start-up vendors, their utilities, their commodity providers and their own people.   The solutions can be interesting and compelling – but remain complex and with uncertain financial returns.  A number of start-ups who had promising stories have already disappeared.  And their IT departments are still flat out.

This time, the corporate stage is set for someone to manage the whole energy thing (or a least a big chunk of it) from afar.

Enter the Energy Managed Service Provider (yup, another acronym.)  A few EMSP have been already been operating for years, albeit in narrow application areas.

Summit Energy (acquired by Schneider Electric in 2011) built a business managing outsourced utility bill management, coupling this service to commodity purchasing.  EnerNoc has been providing it for the load response markets.  Multi-year, utility scale corporate PPAs like First Solar’s with Apple, have given large corporates green kilowatt hours, while letting the PPA owners worry about installing and managing the array while monetizing the Federal ITC.

Newer companies like BuildingIQ and Phoenix Energy Technologies (recently acquired by Duke Energy) have gained momentum using their managed service to control corporate HVAC costs, the C&I equivalent to Nest managing your home’s system.  They monitor 24x7x365, control directly or through off-line communication and have a clear energy savings value proposition.  Stem and Tesla are doing it with batteries, enabling storage managed resources for utilities like SoCal Edison.  Beyond these, we’re seeing increasing experimentation in every category of energy management systems, from LED lighting to compressed air to cogeneration.  Vendors are leveraging cloud software and IoT control to deliver their managed services.

The next phase of EMSP adoption will likely be catalyzed by real or perceived energy cost escalation to commodity base rates, demand charges or TOU pricing.  It will hit the largest energy consumers first.

The most strategic EMSPs will need to address more than one area of energy management, similar to how battery backup and solar can be technically and economically linked.  They’ll need a software-based technical edge that’s hard for customers to do themselves – ie. present real value as a software-service.  Long-term contracts will need to pencil out with hard dollars savings that don’t require customers to change the way they run their business.

Finally, in their contract negotiations they’ll need to accommodate outsourcing psychology, adding a provision that if all goes too well, customers can take energy management back in-house at any point in the future…